Russia Plans Deployment of Up to 115,000 Troops Near NATO Borders After Ukraine War

Russia Plans Deployment of Up to 115,000 Troops Near NATO Borders After Ukraine War
Potential deployment locations for Russian troops. Photo credits: dr.dk

Russia is expanding military bases and strengthening forces along its borders with Northern European and Baltic states.

According to estimates from Danish intelligence sources, these developments may indicate preparations for a potential large-scale conflict with European states in the Baltic Sea region.

Intelligence representatives from Denmark, Sweden, Norway and Finland believe the situation could lead to a dangerous confrontation between NATO and Russia, according to the Danish media outlet DR.

High-ranking military officials say that in the event of escalation, initial hostilities could begin near Denmark and the Baltic states.

Sources say there are currently no confirmed decisions by Russia regarding aggression, but preparatory processes are underway.

Russia is currently expanding military bases and modernizing infrastructure along its European borders.

For example, Russia is restoring a garrison in Petrozavodsk near Finland.

After the end of hostilities in Ukraine, Russia may deploy tens of thousands of additional troops in border areas.

Former intelligence officer Marko Eklund says Russia plans to deploy about 115,000 troops near its borders after the war in Ukraine, most of them with combat experience.

In addition, the analysis says Russia could transfer hundreds of thousands of experienced personnel from other regions of the country to the borders with Nordic and Baltic states within weeks.

Russian bases near the borders of NATO countries as of June 2026. Photo credits: OpenStreetMap/Sys Abrahamsen

Representatives of Scandinavian countries say the threat level is now perceived as higher than during the Cold War.

Russia denies any plans to attack NATO countries, calling such claims false.

Moscow claims that NATO and European states are responsible for increasing tensions in the region.

Western military officials warn that the next one to three years could be the most dangerous period for Europe.

They cite rapid increases in Russian military production and limited readiness of European armed forces.

Some NATO officers say Europe faces shortages in weapons, technology and military infrastructure.

They argue that these gaps could become critical in the event of a sudden escalation.

Despite differing assessments, the situation in the Baltic region remains tense, and experts call for strengthened European defense readiness.

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