Poland: Russia May Use Captured Ukrainian Drones to Stage a Provocation

Poland believes that Russia has captured a large number of Ukrainian drones and may use them to stage a false flag operation.

RMF24 reported on this, citing Polish Minister of National Defence Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz.

According to the Minister, the possibility of such a provocation will be discussed at tomorrow’s meeting of the Security Committee of the Council of Ministers.

The defense minister also noted that, over the past week alone, Polish and Swedish fighter jets intercepted Russian aircraft three times over the Baltic Sea.

He also stressed that the threat from Russia “remains consistently very high” and said he would “never seek to reassure” the public about it.

“We are constantly facing attempts to test the resilience of our air defense systems and critical infrastructure, particularly through cyber operations, as well as GPS signal jamming. The arrests carried out by the Internal Security Agency and the Military Counterintelligence Service are the clearest evidence that Russia has not changed its tactics,” he said.

In early July, it was reported that, according to Polish intelligence services, Poland could become the target of Russian military or hybrid provocations aimed at testing NATO’s resolve and creating conditions that could lead Western countries to end their support for Ukraine.

In addition, a source close to the Polish president said that U.S. officials regularly brief Warsaw during meetings with military chiefs of staff on new Russian plans for a possible attack on NATO’s eastern flank. Poland is reportedly among the potential targets being considered.

Possible scenarios include drone strikes on critical infrastructure, simulated air attacks intended to trigger the activation of Poland’s air defense systems, and hybrid incidents in border areas.

One scenario also envisages Russian or Belarusian troops crossing into Polish territory under the pretext of a “mistake” or while conducting a “rescue operation” following the emergency landing of a helicopter.

According to the media’s sources, the main objective of such a provocation would be to escalate tensions in Europe and create conditions that could lead to the suspension of Western military aid to Ukraine.

To strengthen the country’s readiness to counter such threats, Poland’s Ministry of National Defence is working on introducing a “pre-war state” – a heightened state of preparedness designed to improve the country’s ability to respond to emerging security threats.

The new status would allow Poland to prepare its armed forces, critical infrastructure, and transport network for a potential conflict before a formal state of war is declared. It would also enable the government to activate procedures in advance for the rapid redeployment of military units, the preparation of defensive infrastructure, and the reception and deployment of allied NATO forces.